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The Trade-off Study: Cascading Mistakes of Omission and Commission
PLEASE JOIN US on Wednesday, 22 June 2022 at 5:45pm (presentation starts at 6pm) Pacific Time for a VIRTUAL presentation by Mr. Greg Parnell, PhD, on the typical omission and commission mistakes when conducting SE Trade Studies.
Date: Wednesday, 22 June, 2022, at 5:45 pm (presentation starts at 6pm) PACIFIC TIME.
Location: Virtual / Online only. RSVP.
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+1 669 900 6833
Meeting ID: 925 8253 8499
Tradeoff studies are a critical tool to provide information to support decision making for discipline engineers, systems engineers, and program managers throughout the system life cycle. Unfortunately, the quality of tradeoff studies is typically inconsistent between organizations and within organizations. This paper reports on part of an INCOSE effort to improve tradeoff studies. Using the proposed INCOSE Decision Management Process, aligned with ISO/IEC 15288, we identify and discuss the most common tradeoff study mistakes of omission and commission. The mistakes of omission are errors made by not doing the right things. The mistakes of commission are errors made by doing the right things the wrong way. In addition, we show how these mistakes can cascade into multiple mistakes with significant consequences to the decision makers, stakeholders, and the system. By using the Decision Management Process and avoiding these mistakes, we significantly increase the quality of the tradeoff study and avoid adverse consequences.
SPEAKER: Mr. Gregory S Parnell, PhD. (LinkedIn) Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Arkansas
Dr. Gregory S. Parnell is a Professor of Practice, Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Arkansas and is Director of the M.S. in Operations Management (largest graduate program at the university) and the M.S. in Engineering Management programs. His research focuses on systems engineering, decision analysis, and risk analysis. He is editor of Trade-off Analytics: Creating and Exploring the System Tradespace (2016), lead editor of Decision Making for Systems Engineering and Management, (2nd Ed, 2011), and lead author of the Handbook of Decision Analysis (2013). He is a fellow of the International Committee for Systems Engineering (INCOSE), the Institute for Operations Research/Management Science (INFORMS), and the Military Operations Research Society (MORS). He is a Past President of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society and the MORS. He joined the University of Arkansas faculty in 2013. He previously taught at West Point, the U.S. Air Force Academy, the Virginia Commonwealth University, and the Air Force Institute of Technology. He received the Frank P. Ramsey Medal, Decision Analysis Society, 2014, and the INFORMS Steinhardt Prize in 2020. He has a Ph.D. from Stanford University and is a retired Air Force Colonel.
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